An Empirical Analysis of Influencing Factors of CO2 Emissions from Energy Consumption of Industrial Sectors in Shanghai Based on STIRPAT Model

【摘要】：Using IPCC(2006)'s method,this paper estimates CO2 emissions of Shanghai's industrial sectors from terminal energy consumption from 1994 to 2008,and analyzes its evolution trend and emission structure.It also carries out an empirical analysis about the influencing factors of CO2 emissions.The results reveal that the coal-type energy consumption is the most dominant source of CO2 emissions for most of industrial sectors.Ferrous metal industry is the largest source of CO2 emissions,and its emission trend plays a key role for emission trend of the whole industry.The curve relationship between output per worker and CO2 emissions' scale and intensity presents N-shaped and inverted N-shaped respectively.Coal consumption proportion has remarkably positive effect on CO2 emissions' scale and intensity,and RD intensity and energy efficiency has obviously negative effect on CO2 emissions' scale and intensity.Investment scale has a positive effect on CO2 emissions' scale,but a negative effect on CO2 emissions' intensity.After 2006,the implementation of energy saving and emission reduction policy is effective to reduce CO2 emissions.The change of CO2 emission has an obvious lagged effect,and output per worker and energy efficiency are two strongest influencing factors of CO2 emissions on the long term.