Study on the Forecast Model of Road Traffic Accident with Gray Theory
【摘要】：Road traffic accident forecast is one key matter in traffic safety control work. In order to successfully complete traffic safety control work,we must look for a timely and accurately road traffic accident forecast method. Based on the gray character of road traffic accident,an one--step and single--variable traffic accident forecast model is set up with the Gray Theory. Finally,an illustrative example is given to clarify the model. It can be used for forecasting the traffic accident's statistica1 guideline. The example shows that the way is feasible,simple and practical.