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《安徽省2019年度流行病与卫生统计学学术年会论文集》2019年
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Association between floods and hospital admissions for schizophrenia in Hefei,China:The lag effects of degrees of floods and time variation

魏倩楠  Zhang X  Yi W  Pan R  Gao J  Duan J  Xu Z  Cheng Q  Bai L  Zhang Y  Su H  
【摘要】:BACKGROUND:Schizophrenia is a serious mental disorder,endangering 7.5 million patients in China.Floods,as the adverse consequence of temperature-rise,have a negative influence on mental health.However,the relationship between floods and schizophrenia is still insufficient.This study aimed to quantitative the relationship between floods and the admissions for schizophrenia in Hefei,China.METHODS:A Poisson generalized linear model(GLM) combining a distributed lag non-linear model(DLNM) was used to quantify the lag effects of floods on schizophrenia and subgroups(male,female; ≤40 y,40 y; the married,the unmarried) from 2005 to 2014,Hefei,China.We further explored the effects of different degrees(moderate and severe) of floods and their temporal changes on schizophrenia.RESULTS:There was a significant association between floods and admissions risk for schizophrenia.And the lag effects for schizophrenia lasted ten days(lag 5-lag 14),with the greatest effect on lag 9(RR=1.036,95% confidence interval(CI):1.014-1.058).The married,≤40 y were sensitive to floods.The significant difference wasn't found for genders.The effects of the severe flood were higher than moderate floods,with the largest RR of 1.073(95%CI:1.029-1.119).The adverse effects were found in the middle and late period with a decreasing trend in the later period.CONCLUSIONS:This study suggests a significant association between floods and schizophrenia with ten days of lag effects in Hefei,China.Male,female,40 y and the married are vulnerable to both moderate and severe floods.The findings might be used to allocate medical resources of mental health after floods.
【作者单位】:安徽医科大学公共卫生学院
【分类号】:P426.616;TV87;R749.3

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